Retail & E-commerce

Fair Demand AI for Quick Commerce

How a quick commerce leader eliminated Tier 2/3 city bias in demand forecasting

+40% Tier 2/3 Forecast Accuracy
8 Languages for Support
-35% Stockouts in New Cities

Customer Profile

A leading quick commerce company operating in 40+ Indian cities, promising 10-minute delivery through a network of dark stores. The company was rapidly expanding from metros to Tier 2 and Tier 3 cities.

Challenge

The company’s AI systems, trained primarily on metro city data, were failing in newer markets:

Demand Forecasting Bias

  • Models trained on Mumbai/Delhi/Bangalore data
  • Tier 2/3 city demand patterns fundamentally different
  • Festive and regional event patterns not captured
  • 40% higher stockout rates in expansion cities

Customer Service Language Gap

  • Support AI only reliable in English and Hindi
  • Southern and Eastern India customers underserved
  • 60% of non-Hindi complaints escalating to human agents
  • Customer satisfaction 25% lower in non-metro markets

Dark Store Placement

  • Location algorithms optimized for metro density patterns
  • Tier 2 cities with different urban layouts
  • Catchment area assumptions incorrect for smaller cities
  • Delivery radius calculations based on metro traffic patterns

Inventory Allocation

  • SKU preferences varying significantly by region
  • Metro-centric assortment pushed to all cities
  • Local preferences not reflected in stocking
  • Wastage high for items with regional demand variation

Solution

Rotavision deployed AI fairness infrastructure for equitable expansion:

Vishwas for Demand Forecasting Fairness

  • Bias detection in demand models across city tiers
  • Regional event calendar integration (local festivals, functions)
  • Performance parity monitoring by geography
  • Continuous model retraining for expansion cities

Sankalp for Sovereign Customer AI

  • On-premise deployment for customer data sovereignty
  • Multi-lingual support AI across 8 Indian languages
  • Regional context understanding for queries
  • Compliance with DPDP Act for customer data

Regional Intelligence Layer

  • City-tier specific demand patterns
  • Local festival and event impact modeling
  • Regional taste and preference mapping
  • Weather-adjusted demand (monsoon variations by region)

Inventory Fairness

  • Assortment recommendation by city profile
  • Regional SKU performance tracking
  • Stockout parity across geographies
  • Wastage reduction through localized prediction

Language Deployment

Language Cities CSAT Score
Hindi All 40+ 4.2/5
English All 40+ 4.4/5
Tamil Chennai, Coimbatore, Madurai 4.1/5
Telugu Hyderabad, Vijayawada, Vizag 4.0/5
Kannada Bangalore, Mysore, Hubli 4.2/5
Bengali Kolkata, Siliguri 4.1/5
Marathi Mumbai, Pune, Nagpur 4.3/5
Malayalam Kochi, Trivandrum 4.0/5

Implementation

Phase Focus Duration
Assessment Bias audit of demand and service AI Week 1-3
Data Regional data collection and integration Week 4-6
Model Fairness-aware retraining Week 7-10
Language Multi-lingual support deployment Week 8-12
Monitoring Guardian deployment for ongoing parity Week 11-14

Results

Metric Before After Change
Tier 2/3 Forecast Accuracy 58% 81% +40%
Stockout Rate (Tier 2/3) 12% 7.8% -35%
Non-Hindi CSAT 3.2/5 4.1/5 +28%
Human Escalation Rate 60% 22% -63%
Wastage (Expansion Cities) 8% 4.5% -44%

Geographic Parity Dashboard

Real-time monitoring ensures fair performance across markets:

Metric Metro Tier 2 Tier 3 Variance
Forecast Accuracy 86% 81% 78% 8%
Stockout Rate 5% 7.8% 9% 4%
Delivery Success 97% 95% 93% 4%
CSAT 4.3 4.1 3.9 0.4

Business Impact

  • Tier 2/3 expansion accelerated with confidence in AI performance
  • 8 new cities launched in 6 months post-implementation
  • Customer acquisition cost reduced 20% in expansion markets
  • Regional partnerships enabled with fair demand forecasting

Regional Insights Discovered

The fairness analysis revealed valuable patterns:

  • South India: Higher demand for fresh produce, lower for frozen
  • East India: Sweet and snack categories outperform national average
  • Festival impact: Regional festivals drive 3x demand spikes (vs 2x for national)
  • Weather: Monsoon patterns affect demand differently by region

Operations Feedback

“We were copying our Mumbai playbook to every city and wondering why it wasn’t working. The fairness analysis showed us that Lucknow and Jaipur have completely different demand patterns. Now we plan for each city’s unique profile.” — Head of Expansion

What’s Next

The company is extending fairness infrastructure to:

  • Delivery partner allocation equity
  • Pricing fairness across geographies
  • Dark store worker scheduling optimization
  • Sustainability metrics by region

Rotavision is powered by Rotascale’s globally-proven AI trust platform.

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